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Ultra-Processed Foods Are Taking Over American Diets

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In a nutshell

  • Ultra-processed foods now account for more than half of calories consumed by Americans both at home (54.1%) and away from home (60.6%), challenging the assumption that home cooking is automatically healthier.
  • Consumption of minimally processed foods like fruits, vegetables, and unaltered meats has declined significantly, dropping to just 29.8% of at-home calories and 24.0% of away-from-home calories by 2018.
  • These trends were consistent across nearly all demographic groups, suggesting widespread structural factors rather than individual choices are driving the shift toward more processed diets.

BALTIMORE — Americans love convenience. From drive-thru restaurants to ready-to-heat meals, our food system has evolved to prioritize speed and simplicity. But a concerning trend has emerged in recent years: ultra-processed foods now dominate American diets, and not just when dining out.

A study published in the Journal of Nutrition reveals that ultra-processed foods (UPFs) make up more than half of Americans’ energy intake regardless of whether they’re eating at home or away from home. Even more alarming, the research shows that while the proportion of calories from UPFs is increasing over time, consumption of minimally processed foods is steadily declining.

The study, conducted by researchers from Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health and other institutions, tracked the eating patterns of over 34,000 American adults between 2003 and 2018, providing one of the most extensive analyses of how food processing levels have changed in American diets.

‘More than just junk food’

“The perception can be that ‘junk food’ and ultra-processed foods are equivalent,” says lead study author Julia Wolfson, Ph.D., associate professor in the Bloomberg School’s Department of International Health, in a statement. “Yet ultra-processed foods encompass many more products than just junk food or fast food, including most of the foods in the grocery store. The proliferation and ubiquity of ultra-processed foods on grocery store shelves is changing what we are eating when we make meals at home.”

Gluttony and overeating: Woman surrounded by table full of desserts and pastriesGluttony and overeating: Woman surrounded by table full of desserts and pastries
It was previously assumed that the processed foods included in many diets were consumed outside of the home, but that is not always the case. (© wayhome.studio – stock.adobe.com)

Ultra-processed foods are industrial formulations that contain substances with little or no nutritional value, such as colorings, emulsifiers, artificial flavors, and sweeteners. Examples include packaged snacks, sugary cereals, chips, hot dogs, prepackaged meals, and many types of bread. By contrast, minimally processed foods include fruits, vegetables, whole grains, eggs, milk, and other foods that undergo minimal processing, like freezing or simple packaging, without adding substantial ingredients.

The researchers discovered that throughout the study period, UPFs consistently made up more than 50% of energy intake for Americans both at home (increasing from 51.4% to 54.1%) and away from home (rising from 58.9% to 60.6%). Meanwhile, minimally processed foods declined from 34.8% to 29.8% of at-home calories and from 28.1% to 24.0% of away-from-home calories.

Many might assume that fast food and restaurant meals drive America’s ultra-processed diet, but this research highlights that our grocery carts and home kitchens are equally problematic. In fact, the proportion of total energy intake from UPFs consumed at home increased significantly (from 33.6% to 37.1%) over the study period, while UPF intake from away-from-home sources remained relatively steady.

Ultra-processed food consumption similar among demographics

The researchers found only minor differences in trends of ultra-processed food intake at home by sex, age, race/ethnicity, income, and education over the study period. UPF intake was slightly lower than 50% in some years for Hispanics and higher-income households. However, even in these groups, the proportion of at-home calories from ultra-processed foods never fell below 49% for the high-income group or 47% among Hispanics.

Unhealthy, processed junk food productsUnhealthy, processed junk food products
Researchers say processed foods litter grocery store shelves and make their way into your home regularly. (© beats_ – stock.adobe.com)

For those with less than a high school degree, away-from-home consumption of ultra-processed foods rose nearly eight percentage points, from 59.2% in 2003 to 67.1% in 2018. That proportion hovered around 60% for individuals with a high school degree or more. This widespread reliance on ultra-processed foods across all groups suggests that broader societal factors like food marketing, availability, and pricing are driving these dietary patterns, rather than simply being a matter of personal choice.

Consuming high amounts of ultra-processed food has been linked to chronic health conditions such as cardiovascular disease, obesity, and colorectal cancer, among others. The nutritional profile of UPFs often includes high levels of added sugars, unhealthy fats, and sodium, while lacking fiber, vitamins, minerals, and other beneficial compounds found in less processed foods.

Home-cooked meals don’t always mean healthier

The study’s findings challenge the notion that simply encouraging more home cooking will automatically lead to healthier eating. Even households that report cooking dinner frequently still derive most of their calories from ultra-processed foods. This suggests that modern “cooking” often involves combining and heating ultra-processed components rather than preparing meals from minimally processed ingredients.

Several factors explain the declining consumption of minimally processed foods. Overall, the proportion of total calories from minimally processed foods fell nearly five percentage points from 33.2% in 2003 to 28.5% in 2018. Minimally processed foods tend to be more expensive, more perishable, less available in some communities, and require more cooking skills or pre-planning. By contrast, ultra-processed foods are easier and faster to prepare, often less expensive, and more shelf stable.

“We need strategies to help people choose less processed foods and avoid unhealthy ultra-processed foods for foods purchased for both at-home and away-from-home consumption,” adds Wolfson. “Additionally, strong nutrition labels warning of high ultra-processed food content may be warranted.”

‘Backbone of American diet’

Rather than focusing solely on restaurant meals or fast food, interventions must address the entire food environment. This might include improving food literacy and cooking skills, implementing front-of-package warning labels for UPFs, making minimally processed foods more affordable through subsidies or incentive programs, and encouraging food manufacturers to improve the nutritional quality of processed products.

For individuals concerned about their diet, the study serves as a reminder to examine not just where they eat but what they eat. Whether dining out or preparing meals at home, choosing less processed options could contribute to better long-term health outcomes.

When looking at your own eating habits, consider not just how often you cook at home versus eating out, but what ingredients you’re actually using when you prepare meals. A home-cooked dinner assembled from packaged, ready-to-heat components may not offer much nutritional advantage over its restaurant counterpart.

The study’s bottom line is sobering but important: ultra-processed foods have become the backbone of American diets, regardless of where meals are consumed. Reversing this trend will require attention to both at-home and away-from-home eating environments, with coordinated efforts from individuals, industries, and policymakers. In a food industry where processing has become the norm rather than the exception, finding a path back to more minimally processed options presents a significant but essential challenge for public health.

Paper Summary

Methodology

This study used data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 2003-2018. NHANES is a large, nationally representative survey that collects health and dietary information from Americans. The researchers included over 34,000 adults aged 20 years and older who had completed two 24-hour dietary recalls, where participants reported everything they ate and drank in the past day and whether they consumed each food at home or away from home.

Using the Nova Food Group Classification system, the researchers categorized foods into four groups based on processing level: 1) unprocessed or minimally processed, 2) processed culinary ingredient, 3) processed, and 4) ultraprocessed. They then calculated what percentage of people’s calories came from each type of food, both overall and separately for at-home and away-from-home eating, and examined trends over time using statistical models adjusted for demographic factors.

Results

The study found striking consistency in ultra-processed food consumption across demographic groups. About two-thirds of total calories came from food eaten at home, and this proportion increased slightly over the study period. The researchers uncovered several nuanced patterns that weren’t immediately obvious. Men experienced a greater decline in at-home minimally processed food intake compared to women. Lower-income groups showed larger reductions in away-from-home minimally processed food intake than higher-income groups. Among older adults (65+ years), ultra-processed food intake increased both at home and away from home, while among younger and middle-aged adults, ultra-processed food consumption remained relatively flat in both settings. This finding is particularly concerning since older adults have historically had better diet quality than younger age groups. Non-Hispanic Black adults experienced notable increases in ultra-processed food consumption both at home (from 52.7% to 57.4% of at-home energy) and away from home (from 61.4% to 66.8% of away-from-home energy). Among Hispanic adults, minimally processed food intake was higher than in other groups but still decreased significantly over time.

Limitations

This study relies on self-reported dietary data, which can suffer from reporting bias. People tend to underreport foods they think are unhealthy, including many ultra-processed foods. As public awareness about the downsides of ultra-processed foods has grown, this underreporting may have increased over time. Classifying foods into processing categories isn’t always straightforward, especially for mixed dishes and homemade recipes. The researchers note that while the classification system they used works well overall, there may be some misclassifications affecting up to 10% of items.

The study looks at different cross-sections of the population over time rather than following the same individuals. This means it can’t show how individual eating habits change over time, only how population averages shift. The study period ended in 2018, before the COVID-19 pandemic, which significantly changed many people’s eating habits as more meals were consumed at home. The findings don’t reflect these recent changes.

Discussion and Takeaways

This study shows that ultra-processed foods dominate American diets both at home and away from home, challenging the common assumption that eating at home is automatically healthier than eating out. What matters most is the type of foods being consumed, not just where they’re eaten. To address these issues, the researchers suggest a multi-pronged approach that includes stronger nutrition labels, programs to make minimally processed foods more accessible, and education to help people identify and prepare less processed options. Such interventions should be tailored to address the specific barriers faced by different population groups.

Funding and Disclosures

The study was supported by the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (#K01DK119166) and the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (R01 HL153178 and T32 HL007024). The researchers reported no conflicts of interest that might affect the study’s findings.

Publication Information

The study titled “Trends in Adults’ Intake of Un-processed/Minimally Processed, and Ultra-processed foods at Home and Away from Home in the United States from 2003-2018” was published online on December 5 in the Journal of Nutrition. The research team included Julia A. Wolfson, Anna Claire Tucker, Cindy W. Leung, Casey M. Rebholz, Vanessa Garcia-Larsen, and Euridice Martinez-Steele from institutions including Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, and the University of Sao Paulo, Brazil.

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